Months of research has allowed us to create a map that will consistently offer a useful picture of the outcome of the ...

On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is ...

Number of electoral votes and the probability of a Democratic or Republican win in each state. Outlined states are most ...

The news is great for Trump, who now has better odds at winning the 2024 election than he did in each of his previous ...

We're now less than a month out from the 2024 election, and most signs point to a closely fought race that could prove to be ...

A key swing state has flipped in favor of Donald Trump, according to a new Electoral College map projection.

The U.S. is in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election as Republican nominee Donald Trump and Democratic nominee ...

Harris and Trump are still competing for votes in several tossup swing states, according to 538's polling aggregate.

The Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris election margins are growing razor-thin in the final stretch of the election. What the ...

Proportional representation or winner takes all? Here’s how researchers compare the merits of contrasting voting methods.

After the Vice Presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walz, what are the odds for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump?

Here is what the polls, odds and a historian have said over the past six weeks and how they are changing as we head into ...