Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election in November have plunged, according to an online betting platform. Polymarket, ...

Silver's Silver Bulletin model, which tracks polling data and trends, shifted 0.3 points toward Trump over the past week.

With the race between Harris and Trump still neck-and-neck, Newsweek turned to AI for thoughts on the 2024 election.

On Tuesday, 538 released its 2024 election forecast for the House of Representatives. The general idea behind our forecast is ...

Often the forecasters are the first to push back on the characterization that they can tell you what’s going to happen.

Donald Trump is rapidly closing the gap on Kamala Harris in one of the most closely watched election forecasts. As the 2024 ...

The historian who correctly predicted nine of the ten most recent presidential elections said that any October surprise is a ...

Allan Lichtman, historian and professor at American University, joins us on The Excerpt to discuss his 2024 presidential ...

Dr Thomas Miller modelling shows Trump’s predicted Electoral College votes have risen in the last 10 days from 230 to 275 ...

Pollster Nate Silver said in his latest election forecast that the White House race between former President Trump and Vice ...

These cases together remind us that error stalks even the most confident of forecasts and that elite opinion is not always ...

Prediction markets for American elections have been growing despite their legal and regulatory issues. How do they work, and ...